The mere fact he’s still likely to win the next election, is such an embarassment. I’m not American, but it’s genuinely worrying if you’re European too. You just know he’ll cave to Russia within days of being elected.
If you’re Ukrainian it’s horrible. Putin has no motive to stop the war till after the election. If Trump wins, he’ll do his best to fuck over Ukraine and help Putin.
And I know there’s a sizeable amount of Trump supporters in Taiwan and Trump likes to go on about being tough on China, but given Trump admires Xi, those in power have got to be worried about the prospect of a second Trump term too.
On the plus side, I hope that Europe has finally realized we can’t rely on the US, and need to rebuild our defense industry. Obviously, that doesn’t necessarily serve US interests, as we may be forced to side with China on certain issues against a beligerent US administration.
Where are you getting this “fact that he’s likely to win” ? He didn’t win the last one and he’s worse off this time. Also there are loads of new voters who are finally old enough to vote that are sick of all the anti-abortion anti-LGBTQ stuff the right has been pushing the last 4 years. If you regurgitate that rhetoric it’s more likely to happen.
Aggregated polling data:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/
The polls are only showing that because he hasn’t clinched the nomination yet so the huge number of people who dislike both candidates don’t feel like they have to make a decision yet. Once that happens, I think we’ll see a big drop in his numbers. I could be wrong, but I’m usually not, at least when it comes to politics.
the huge number of people who dislike both candidates don’t feel like they have to make a decision yet.
If you look at actual polls, you’ll find the number of undecided voters is surprisingly low.
Eg. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/michigan-2024-trump-and-biden-on-course-for-tight-rematch/
An august 1-2 poll of Michigan voters, 44% Trump, 44% biden, 8% other, just 5% undecided. It’s unlikely they’ll all split Biden, and even they disproportionately did, a Trump win would still be well within the margin of error.
Biden isn’t an unknown quantity. Trump isn’t an unknown quantity. Voters know what they stand for by now, they know what they’ll be like as president. And yet it’s still close.
Let’s put it this way, I admire your optimism if you assume Biden will win easily.
We will know soon enough. I was right when I said that there wouldn’t be a “red wave” during the midterms, in spite of what the polls said, and I’m positive that I am right when I say that the polls aren’t giving us a clear picture of what to expect of a third Trump presidential campaign.
Again, what I think we’re seeing in the polls reflects a dislike for both candidates, but not a dislike that’s evenly distributed or felt with the same degree of vehemence.
Teasing out that difference is difficult using traditional polling methods, but it becomes obvious when one looks at how many Americans find Trump objectively abhorrent.
My prediction is that Biden defeats Trump handily, not in a landslide, but convincingly enough to permanently show Trump the door.
I may be wrong. We will see.
I was right when I said that there wouldn’t be a “red wave” during the midterms, in spite of what the polls said
The polls didn’t say there would be a red wave. Aggregated polling suggested there was a 42% chance the democrats won at least the house.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
Same thing happened in 2016, when IRC polling suggested Trump had something like a 1/3 chance of winning, but media painted a Clinton win being a certainty.
Be more wary of how the media reports on polling.
There won’t be any gerrymandering for President unless they are able to change State boarders. Voter suppression in targeted areas however is possible.
Gerrymandering doesn’t affect presidential elections. Only the lower house of Congress and the state legislative branch.
That’s their plan. Anyone posting bullshit like that is someone I’ll be immediately suspicious of. Trump will lose again and maybe it’ll be blow that sends his racist cult back under the rocks they came from. Everyday boomers are dropping to old age and younger people are hitting voting age. The last election was their last chance and they knew it, that’s why they all knew what he was trying to do and they went with it. Soon we can start repairing the damage they’ve done and start working ourselves back out of the 60’s and look to the future.
I agree but we have to get and actually vote!
As an American I hope your last paragraph is true. Ive come to hate America, better yet American, not the land, it’s clear people, nature, and humanity are low on their list. Another country should break our fake image of worth. I hope someday I can leave America or this place changes completely.
If another country doesn’t break our fake image than another politician will come along to use us people and motivate us to live for false hope that continues to rape our lives.
It goes deeper than politics… It’s our businesses and business culture too.
Try being Canadian and living next door to this crap, with the most porous borders in the world between us.
*sigh*
Try living in southern Canada (Minnesota) and not having a college degree so Canada most likely won’t let me immigrate.
Reading your comment I am thinking that Mexico might pay for a border after all - to keep Americans out.
The most depressing part of it all is that if Trump is in the rush to win, neoliberals would still blame the stupidity of the people, or anything else, except themselves. IF Trump sucks and is about to win, imagine how much Biden sucks
I am absolutely TIRED of politicians never having to do any “Mea Culpa” and blaming everything else except themselves for losing an election, I am tired of neoliberals shitting on people and then say “If you don’t vote for us then the world is gonna burn”
I have a feeling this is intentional. These statements can be used as evidence and it gets him off the case for which he probably realized he’s never getting paid and his client is a moron.
The “this obviously stupid thing must have been done on purpose” take is the stupidest thing about the Internet.
They can just request to be removed as council.
stupidest thing about the Internet
*counsel
Dude Trump has literally broadcast his crimes on Fox TV. It doesn’t take a lawyer admitting it.
I still have plenty of doubts the indictments will put him away for any amount of time that he actually deserves. I’d say 3 month suspended sentence at best. I’ll believe he’s going to jail when he’s in jail.
Lauro: At the end, he asked Mr Pence to pause the voting for 10 days, allow the state legislatures to weigh in and then they could make a determination to audit or reaudit or recertify. But what he didn’t do is, you know, send in the tanks…
Think about that for a minute… Trump and his lawyers believe we should be thanking him because Trump didn’t turn American streets into blood-soaked war zones.
IMO if Trump had his way we would have had an American versions of Tienanmen Square all across the country instead of the insurrection he was able to incite.
He’s not using the I didn’t know it was wrong defense (that was earlier) but the my lawyers told me it was fine defense (his previous lawyers, not these two).
So, I don’t think these statements matter to his current defensive strategy.
If he uses advice of counsel defense, he has to waive attorney client privilege. Seems like a nice trap by special counsel.
Hm. He really does have tiny hands.
I think it is more a short arms problem
Setting up grounds for future appeals?
It’s a good thing he only hires the best people!
/s
You don’t need the /s here. The stupid people have not found us yet.
I don’t understand how anyone can think there’s any truth or a space left for the mending of America. It never was what they said it was and it never will be. The jig is up.
People need to move on… A new foundation or no foundation. I feel like that’s the only choice.
How much more do they have to do for people to realize? The governments and streets are laced with career criminals and good honest men and women just get used.
It’s already too far gone to be fixed. Trust is dead and will take decades or more to get back from people and future generations.
If you’ve got a viable strategy, please share!
Please refer to 1860s American history. Or late 1960s. Things aren’t nearly as fucked now. Fucked though they may be.
