So I ran the math on the election outcome on this, as someone who lives in the riding directly:

32401 / 116259 = ~ 27.9% (Voter turnout)

27.9 * 0.574 (Percentage of vote which went to Jivani) = 16.01%

16% of the electorate gets to decide a candidate for the remaining 84%. I don’t know about anyone else, or whether it’s just supposed to be the way that things go, but it gives me a real ick feeling when I see a number like that. Maybe if it was something closer to 30% or something along those lines, I could at least begrudgingly accept that this is such a solid Conservative riding, but only 16%?!

I just really hate voter apathy, guys. Come on, we had 4 days of early voting, mail-in voting, the actual vote day itself, you can legally request time off work to go vote if you need it… was it that difficult to get out and vote, or am I just missing some other context?!

Not overly surprising. As the CBC says, the Conservatives have held this seat for decades at this point. I think the most surprising thing about this election is that the PPC’s vote share held fairly steady between this election and the last. Meaning the Conservative gains came either directly from the Liberals and NDP, or as a relative gain from those two party’s voters staying home. That probably feels good in the moment, however if the national mood shifts between now and the next election in (probably) October 2025, the PPC maintaining the small relevance that it has could end up biting the CPC in the ass.