• Svante@mastodon.xyz
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    2 years ago

    @MattMastodon @Sodis Careful about labels. »Renewables« often includes biomass (which is just fast-track fossil tbh) and hydro (which is not so volatile). I’m talking about wind and solar specifically (volatiles).

    40% is roughly the mean capacity factor of a good mix of volatiles. This is what you can directly feed to the user from the windmill/panel, without storage. You can expand a bit by massive overbuilding, but you can’t overbuild your way out of no wind at night.

    • MattMastodon@mastodonapp.uk
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      2 years ago

      @Ardubal @Sodis

      Mostly we don’t use energy at night. In the UK there is a peak in the morning. In the UK we mainly use gas to fill this. We will have to find a storage solution as nuclear can’t be upscale that quickly. Gas was meant to be used just to fill the gaps but it’s quickly become a staple.

      We need to find a way of smoothing the graph. Energy storage is the best option in the short term.

      Or we can vary use.

      #nuclear #renewables

      • Svante@mastodon.xyz
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        2 years ago

        @MattMastodon @Sodis Again: that demand is lower at night is already factored in. Roughly 40% of demand can be directly met by volatile sources. You may think nuclear is slow to deploy, but it’s still much faster than anything that doesn’t exist.

        The gap is 60%. Gas is a fossil fuel. Varying use is mostly a euphemism. If you hurt industry, you won’t have the industry to build clean energy sources.

            • Svante@mastodon.xyz
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              2 years ago

              @MattMastodon @Sodis If you include construction and disposal (and transport and so on…) it is called lifecycle costs. First image shows that per energy produced (sorry german, »AKW neu« is new-built nuclear).

              Uranium comes from all over the world. Second image shows the situation a few years ago. Niger is place 5, Russia place 7.

                • Svante@mastodon.xyz
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                  2 years ago

                  @MattMastodon @Sodis We’re going in circles. Volatile sources can only supply 40% of current demand for £50/MWh. The question is what fills the rest.

                  If storage, then the price goes up immediately by at least two conversion losses from/to storage, in addition to the cost of storage itself. Which doesn’t exist at the needed scalability.

                  Pointing to single projects is not meaningful, as we need to build a fleet anyway, which has its own dynamics.