A new poll shows former President Trump leading Vice President Harris by only 2 points in Florida ahead of what could be a tighter-than-expected race in the red state in November.

Trump leads Harris with 49 to her 47 percent support in the Sunshine State, according to a Morning Consult poll released Monday. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus two points.

  • Makeitstop@lemmy.worldOP
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    2 months ago

    Yes, polls are flawed, the only poll that matters is the actual election, everyone needs to vote no matter what the polls say.

    But Florida steadily slipping towards swing state status is worth noting. And this is a much larger poll with a much smaller margin of error than some of the recent polls which have claimed to show Trump suddenly gaining ground.

    • bamboo@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      2 months ago

      the only poll that matters is the actual election

      I really want to be pleasantly surprised therefore I don’t think Florida can pull it off and will vote for the weird fascists. Prove me wrong FL.

      • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
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        2 months ago

        A shirtless guy riding a crocodile: “Hold my meth…”

        He wasn’t the hero we knew we needed, but he was there when it counted.

        • Monument@lemmy.sdf.org
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          2 months ago

          I’m not one for political branding , but I’d wear a shirt with that image/ text that says “Shirtless guys on meth riding alligators for Harris”

          I think everyone would think I’m on their side.

    • NegativeInf@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      A snapshot in time.

      Make calls, knock doors, plant yard signs, volunteer at your polling places, talk to your family and friends, run registration drives, and, above all, get up, get out, and GO VOTE!

    • zkfcfbzr@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Florida is already a swing state and has been for ages. 2 of the last 4 elections it went blue.

      It wasn’t a freak accident either. There’s no sane way to look at the last 70 years of presidential elections in Florida and determine it’s been a safe long-term bet for either party in that timeframe. It usually votes for the winner, but when it hasn’t, that loser has always (in modern times) been a Republican - so the state is at least much more electorally important to them than it is to Democrats. It’s very much always been a leans-Republican swing state.

      • mommykink@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Every state is a swing state. If more people realized that even most “stronghold states” are held by less than 20% of the vote, I think we’d see some real change in how we talk about elections

        • baldingpudenda@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Texas is a non voting state, and that asshole AG is trying his best to keep it that way. If tx would vote, there wouldn’t be a republican party as we know it.

      • Makeitstop@lemmy.worldOP
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        2 months ago

        Democrats have been struggling in Florida for a while now, and most predictions have been assuming it would be going to Trump. That’s why all the focus is on Pennsylvania and far less is on Florida.

        If it were to go blue again this year, that would radically alter the electoral math, and probably turn a close race into a massive blowout.

      • Nollij@sopuli.xyz
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        2 months ago

        The same can be said for Ohio. Both of them used to be swing states, and potentially could be again, but are not currently.

    • ilinamorato@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I keep seeing this in threads like this, and…honestly I don’t think any Americans on Lemmy are in danger of thinking it’s all in the bag and staying home on election day. Reddit, sure. Twitter, definitely. But Lemmy?

      • Em Adespoton@lemmy.ca
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        2 months ago

        On Lemmy you’ve got a strong socialist faction. Unlikely to vote for Trump, but may vote for someone else or not vote at all.

        • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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          2 months ago

          I fucking hate socialists so goddamn much, bunch of ineffectual bastards who are too busy virtue signaling to do the bare godsdamned minimum.

          • mattw3496@fedia.io
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            2 months ago

            Consider that they feel the same way about democrats as you feel about them. Also consider that they are always told that third party votes are ineffective. At that point, they might decide not to vote.

            Also, in before I’m accused of being a Trump shill, that I won’t vote, or that Harris is still better than Trump. I know she is, but she also is abetting genocide and I’m okay with that being a hard line for me when I’m in a blue state. Dunno who I’m voting for president between her, third party, or leaving it blank, but I’ll definitely still be voting for other races.

  • GroundedGator@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Many in Florida support the abortion ballot measure but will still vote for Trump. Please remind them that if Trump is elected there will be a nation wide ban and Florida’s Constitution will not matter.

  • Silverseren@fedia.io
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    2 months ago

    Even if Florida doesn’t go blue, the fact that it’s this close kinda acts as a barometer for the rest of the country.

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Polls are meaningless.

    It’s just a circle jerk headline to fuck with your mind.

    • Leate_Wonceslace@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      2 months ago

      So? Is there anything wrong with that? Go with the hype, live a little, get excited, show up, vote.

      ##BLORIDA

      ##LET’S FUCKING GO!

      ##KAMALA SWEEPS

  • EleventhHour@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    I see a blue Florida this November. Not just presidential, but house and local. The GOP fucked Florida, and Florida is gonna fuck the GOP right back. 25 years have come back to roost.

    Rick Scott, you’re gonna reap what you sow.

  • Media Bias Fact Checker@lemmy.worldB
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    2 months ago
    Morning Consult - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)

    Information for Morning Consult:

    MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
    Wikipedia about this source

    The Hill - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)

    Information for The Hill:

    MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
    Wikipedia about this source

    Search topics on Ground.News

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4870702-florida-trump-harris-poll/
    https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling

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