Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) said policy differences toward Israel between her and President Biden won’t stop her from supporting him in the November general election.
“Of course,” Omar said Tuesday, when asked by CNN’s Abby Phillip on “NewsNight” whether she would vote for Biden if the election were held that day, in a clip highlighted by Mediaite. “Democracy is on the line, we are facing down fascism.”
“And I personally know what my life felt like having Trump as the president of this country, and I know what it felt like for my constituents, and for people around this country and around the world,” Omar continued. “We have to do everything that we can to make sure that does not happen to our country again.”
One is observed, and the other is guess work. Nice try, anyway.
both have equal predictive power
By what evidence do you have for that? We can look at vote records and note that Duverger’s Law matches electoral records, and it is based on real world observation of elections. The other one has zero predictive power because it’s not based on anything other than guess work.
>We can look at vote records and note that Duverger’s Law matches electoral records, and it is based on real world observation of elections
so? so tell me what the split is going to be in november using duverger’s law. make a prediction using it.
At this point in time, 2.5%(+/-).5% . Easy to figure out when it’s only 2 parties since 1968 and looking up election results.
>At this point in time, 2.5%(+/-).5% . Easy to figure out when it’s only 2 parties since 1968.
so if it falls outside your margins at all, will you concede that you didn’t predict it? and, therefore, your theory lacks predictive power?