The Great Filter is the idea that, in the development of life from the earliest stages of abiogenesis to reaching the highest levels of development on the Kardashev scale, there is a barrier to development that makes detectable extraterrestrial life exceedingly rare. The Great Filter is one possible resolution of the Fermi paradox.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Filter

The Fermi paradox is the discrepancy between the lack of conclusive evidence of advanced extraterrestrial life and the apparently high likelihood of its existence. As a 2015 article put it, “If life is so easy, someone from somewhere must have come calling by now.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox

Personally I think it’s photosynthesis. Life itself developed and spread but photosynthesis started an inevitable chain of ever-greater and more-efficient life. I think a random chain of mutations that turns carbon-based proto-life into something that can harvest light energy is wildly unlikely, even after the wildly unlikely event of life beginning in the first place.

I have no data to back that up, just a guess.

  • TheBananaKing@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago
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    We’ve been producing noticeable radio waves for a matter of decades. We’ve been capable of detecting even super-powerful, super-deliberate, super-targeted broadcasts for even less time.

    And on top of that, it doesn’t look as though our civilisation is going to exist for more than a handful more decades, in any detectable-from-light-years-away form.

    The chances of that onionskin-thin slice of lightcone intersecting with that of any other civilisation out there seems ludicrously remote.