At the end of every year, we give our AGI, ASI, and Singularity predictions.
We are now halfway through the year, and I think we should jump the gun a little bit and give our predictions.
Back on December 30, 2022, I said AGI 2030, ASI 2040, Singularity 2050. This is most probably going to age like milk.
Today, on July 1, 2023, I will say AGI 2028, ASI 2035, Singularity 2036.
What are your AGI, ASI, and Singularity predictions? Also, let us know if your timelines have shrunk in the last 6 months.
He means the name of the sub because reddit singularity sub does annual predicting arrival of AGI and ASI. But even then we need a solid definition of AGI and ASI before making those predictions makes any sense.
And technological singularity means this: “The technological singularity—or simply the singularity[1]—is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization.[2][3] According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, I. J. Good’s intelligence explosion model, an upgradable intelligent agent will eventually enter a “runaway reaction” of self-improvement cycles, each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an “explosion” in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that qualitatively far surpasses all human intelligence.[4]”