Roughly three-quarters of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said Vice President Kamala Harris should be nominated for the top of their ticket in November, according to the latest PBS News/NPR/Marist poll.
538, by design, lags behind the latest polling, because they’re intentionally smoothing out the numbers. Trends - if they’re real - will take time to express themselves as a result.
The key takeaway here is that these numbers are still very good for the Dems, because Trump is at his absolute ceiling in popularity. He’s coming off of a strong debate performance and nearly being killed. That’s as good as it gets for him. The American public isn’t going to grow to like him as they get to know him more; he’s dominated political discourse non-stop for the last eight years. There’s no room left for him to grow.
Kamala, on the other hand, has a lot of room to grow. That doesn’t guarantee that she will, but it puts all the initiative in her hands. There’s still time for the Dems to play this wrong, but also a lot of space for them to play it right.
538, by design, lags behind the latest polling, because they’re intentionally smoothing out the numbers. Trends - if they’re real - will take time to express themselves as a result.
The key takeaway here is that these numbers are still very good for the Dems, because Trump is at his absolute ceiling in popularity. He’s coming off of a strong debate performance and nearly being killed. That’s as good as it gets for him. The American public isn’t going to grow to like him as they get to know him more; he’s dominated political discourse non-stop for the last eight years. There’s no room left for him to grow.
Kamala, on the other hand, has a lot of room to grow. That doesn’t guarantee that she will, but it puts all the initiative in her hands. There’s still time for the Dems to play this wrong, but also a lot of space for them to play it right.