Assuming neither Redbull driver finishes, who is the most likely driver to win a race? Alonso seems like the obvious choice, but with Mercedes looking strong, who knows?
What would happen if Stroll recovers and wins before Alonso? What sort of meltdown are we looking at?
I’d probably say the three most likely are Alonso, Hamilton and Leclerc. But will probably need a good/bad luck contribution from the weather or Red Bull.
I think Hamilton will get there first. Afraid to say if but I don’t think Alonso will get his win.
Looking at the cars that stand a chance (more or less) I think any Aston Martin, Ferrari or Mercedes driver has a change of winning a race. For the rest it basically needs some freak event to deliver another winner.
Depending on if Merc shows the same form in Canada it’s a Lewis/George/Alonso toss up for me. If not, Alonso. Stroll could happen in theory but it would require Alonso having a shit day.
Alonso wouldnt care about stroll winning I don’t think. He’d just be happy.
Boring guesses: In order of probability, Alonso, Russell, then Hamilton, with the latter two being closely matched, and Hamilton’s form seeming to improve as Mercedes gets the car working.
Fun guesses: Leclerc, when the stars align such that on same day, the pit wall doesn’t trip over its own shoelaces, Charles doesn’t try to 11/10ths the car through an imaginary Mario Kart shortcut that’s actually just an Armco, and Max has mechanical trouble, or Ocon, when the skies open up with torrential rain that red flags the race at just the right time in the pit stop cycle.
