They only need to gaslight, gatekeep, girlboss the public for three more months. I could see them just riding the wave of letting people project their ideals onto her.
Of course that means it’s her election to lose, just like Hillary. So I’m trying not to underestimate her ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
Overcome by relief at not having to vote for Biden, democrats just brunch right through the big day.
But also, republicans have kind of been putting in work on voter suppression these last few years with the help of all those federal judges Sleepy Joe forgot to do anything about.
It feels like it but theres a difference. Unlike 2016, not only is there no alternative. But there was and we go it. Genocide Joe was pushed out. “If you arent in the K-hive now then what were you complaining about. You were just complaining for its own sake”
There were warning signs about the polls in 2016. The only thing that got mentioned was the national polls. The HRC friendly media downplayed it though. People have learned their lessons and analysis is more nuanced these days.
The hard part of polling in 2024 is not ignoring swing states but in figuring out who is going to turn out to vote and who isnt.
They only need to gaslight, gatekeep, girlboss the public for three more months. I could see them just riding the wave of letting people project their ideals onto her.
Of course that means it’s her election to lose, just like Hillary. So I’m trying not to underestimate her ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
This feels like a repeat of 2016, and back then I genuinely thought that Hillary was going to win.
All the polls pointed to Hillary winning and then she just lost.
It’s going to repeat again for kamala
Overcome by relief at not having to vote for Biden, democrats just brunch right through the big day.
But also, republicans have kind of been putting in work on voter suppression these last few years with the help of all those federal judges Sleepy Joe forgot to do anything about.
Gonna be another won the popular vote, lost the actual thing that decides who is president
1000%
It feels like it but theres a difference. Unlike 2016, not only is there no alternative. But there was and we go it. Genocide Joe was pushed out. “If you arent in the K-hive now then what were you complaining about. You were just complaining for its own sake”
There were warning signs about the polls in 2016. The only thing that got mentioned was the national polls. The HRC friendly media downplayed it though. People have learned their lessons and analysis is more nuanced these days.
The hard part of polling in 2024 is not ignoring swing states but in figuring out who is going to turn out to vote and who isnt.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/kamala-harris/
More disapproval for Harris than approval
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
She’s leading national presidential poll against Trump, like Hillary.
I found a source that said she’s leading trump in a few states. But I really don’t see a difference between now and 2016.
I mean look
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/
Hillary was dominating trump in 2016 in Michigan and then she just lost it come election day.
Edit: and Harris barely beats trump in the battleground states. Polls really showed Hillary crushing trump in swing states, more so than Harris.