return2ozma@lemmy.world to United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml · 4 months agoKamala Harris takes 7-point lead over Donald Trump in new national pollwww.newsweek.comexternal-linkmessage-square7fedilinkarrow-up176arrow-down13cross-posted to: [email protected]
arrow-up173arrow-down1external-linkKamala Harris takes 7-point lead over Donald Trump in new national pollwww.newsweek.comreturn2ozma@lemmy.world to United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml · 4 months agomessage-square7fedilinkcross-posted to: [email protected]
minus-squareSomeoneSomewhere@lemmy.nzlinkfedilinkarrow-up11·4 months agoThe headline margin of error only applies at the centre (50%), and decreases towards the extremes. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error#Specific_margins_of_error Wikipedia says that for a poll with 1013 participants and the same headline margin of error, a 2% result would be ±0.8%. It’s more likely that this is the crowd who deliberately gives the most absurd answer possible.
The headline margin of error only applies at the centre (50%), and decreases towards the extremes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error#Specific_margins_of_error
Wikipedia says that for a poll with 1013 participants and the same headline margin of error, a 2% result would be ±0.8%.
It’s more likely that this is the crowd who deliberately gives the most absurd answer possible.