Vantage Data House
app.vantagedatahouse.com

Hopium? This blog is suggesting an incredible margin of victory for Harris.

VDH is the website. They are outright calling respected meta-polls FiveThirtyEight and RCP completely wrong. Their overall argument is that the Senate-race is incredibly favored in the Democrat’s favor.

I don’t know if I necessarily believe that argument. But its still interesting to think about. Discuss?

  • ristoril_zipEnglish
    32·
    2 months ago

    2016 taught us to never take anything for granted, and to always run as if we’re 2 points behind. There are secret “deplorables” out there just waiting to use their secret ballot to vote ruin upon their trusting neighbors’ heads.

    What I want from each and every one of you is a hard-target search of every gas station, residence, warehouse, farmhouse, henhouse, outhouse and doghouse in that area. Checkpoints go up at fifteen miles. Your fugitive’s name is Dr. Richard Kimble Undecided Voter. Go get them.

    • Em Adespoton@lemmy.ca
      21·
      2 months ago

      Personally, I don’t think there’s real undecided voters at this point… at least, not the ones who say they are. The real undecided voters are the ones that will say what their friends and family want them to say out loud, but are silently considering voting differently.

      Better to target the “I’m not voting because…” crowd.

      • ristoril_zipEnglish
        10·
        2 months ago

        Yeah most of the discussion I’ve heard about persuading voters is not that people sympathetic to Democratic policies are split between Harris and Trump but that they’re split between voting and couch.

        Like I get if some Californians or New Yorkers know that their state is going for Harris. But in 2020 some US House districts in CA and NY went to Republicans even though the states went to Biden.

        It’s not going to be sufficient for Harris to be President. We need her to have a strong majority in the House and Senate as well so that a future President Harris, Leader Schumer, and Speaker Jeffries can work together to make Americans’ lives better.

        If any part of Congress is controlled by the Republican Party, we’ll be stuck in purgatory for another 2 to 4 years. That’s avoidable if we win the fight against the couch.

      • gmtom@lemmy.world
        4·
        2 months ago

        I think there is a sizeable number of undecided voters that don’t like Trump but are long time republican voters and so don’t want to vote for a democrat at all. Which is why things like the interview Harris did with Fox is so important.