Russia’s second major aerial attack on Ukraine’s power grid in less than two weeks amplified fears that the Kremlin aims to cripple the country’s power generation capacity before winter.
Yesterday on the radio they explained that the Russians are going all-in to gain as much land as possible before the Trump presidency starts.
Trumps plan for peace is a
seizecease fire where Russia gets to keep the borders as they are now. This means Ukraine will need to give up more of their land again, which of course is a win for Russia.It will also allow Russia to replenish their military, learn from their mistakes and do another invasion in 5-10 years.
This is the reason Russia is now going all-in. They think they don’t need to ration their troops or ammo, they want to gain as much ground as possible in the next six weeks.
This could also give Ukraine an advantage if they play their cards right.
It means in six weeks the Russians will be at their weakest in years, with little ammo and men, but maybe with some ground gained, they are weak to defend.
I don’t think Trump is playing 4d chess here and that the Trump administration is smart enough to see this situation and change their plan, to actually do an uno reverse and force Russia to give up their gains under threat of providing the Ukraine with extra support, but the EU might be.
There is already talk of boots on the ground in the Ukraine. So even if the US doesn’t back them, hopefully the EU will and they can use the Russians aggression against them by taking advantage of this situation.
I would at least hope that as part of the negotiations the Ukraine negotiates a couple of nuclear weapons they can use to deter any future invasion, and that they become part of NATO, so article 5 can be invoked.
