over due for a bit of a revolution

Ohh indeed.

Here’s the playfield:

We have cities full of poorly armed people who are on the edge of readiness. Then, we have thousands of miles of rural country with a sparse number of well-armed people who are quite happy with the turn of events.

Nearly all news coverage is now directly/indirectly state-controlled. Nearly all social media coverage is directly/indirectly state-controlled.

We’re seeing protests come up around government buildings, but it’s barely a pittance.

The people who would need to start the coup are poorly armed and largely reluctant to be violent; they’re also not ready to give their lives for the cause. The people who are against any form of coup are well-armed and would LOVE to go in guns blazing.

The inklings of resistance are present. They’d need someone to organize and lead them,

Another concern I have is, historically, you have a coup, the military is called in to take it out, they refuse, and a new government is installed with their blessing. What happens when, instead of the military getting called in and refusing, the old government hires private industry to put guns on drones and starts murderbotting protestors? Tech isn’t like it used to be. They don’t need to get their hands directly dirty anymore or risk any of their own lives.

I’m not certain you could have a revolution against well funded oligarchs dug into a country.