Other unknown variable imho, is nuclear weaponary, which made it impossible to continue WW2. We haven’t seen or experienced a “hot” war between nuclear nations since that’s been possible. (Though I imagine climate change makes nuclear confrontation more likely, albeit probably indirectly.)
Not a global expert by any means, but the first war over water is on the horizon. Egypt and Ethiopia will go to war over a damn dam on their border. The deal they’re making won’t last.
Other unknown variable imho, is nuclear weaponary, which made it impossible to continue WW2. We haven’t seen or experienced a “hot” war between nuclear nations since that’s been possible. (Though I imagine climate change makes nuclear confrontation more likely, albeit probably indirectly.)
My bet is an India/ China tactical nuclear exchange over Kashmir.
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Not a global expert by any means, but the first war over water is on the horizon. Egypt and Ethiopia will go to war over a damn dam on their border. The deal they’re making won’t last.