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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • The “hard truth” sounds like “AI isn’t replacing programmers anytime soon.”

    A nice summary provided by the authors:

    How developers are actually using AI. Very different usages for “bootstrappers” versus “iterators.” Perhaps a reason why one tool is unlikely to work equally well for both groups?

    The 70% problem: AI’s learning curve paradox. Lesser-talked-about challenges with AI: the “two steps back paradox,” the hidden cost of “AI speed,” and the “knowledge paradox.”

    What actually works: practical patterns. AI-first draft, constant conversation, and “trust but verify” patterns.

    What does this mean for developers? Start small, stay modular, and trust your experience.

    The rise of agentic software engineering. A shift to collaborating with AI, multi-modal capabilities, autonomous but guided approaches, and an “English-first” development environment.

    The return of software as a craft? The lost art of polish to return, and the renaissance of personal software.

    Additional thoughts. A good time to refresh what software engineering really is and how it has been the dream of needing no developers since the 1960s. And still, demand for experienced engineers could well increase in the future, rather than decrease.



  • The “Tetris method” is basically “think about things.”

    The last kind of blockage is, you write yourself into a corner, which a lot of people really dread. But I kind of love it. I think it’s because I grew up playing Tetris: I really like playing the game of “How do I rotate this plot element or this voice until it fits into the story?”

    It’s a funny household-chore way of looking at writing. But it really is like cleaning out the trash bin, or playing Dr. Mario. OK, I’m stuck, but what angle do I need to turn this to for it to make sense? Do I need to flip it around? Maybe I make the thing that is a problem for me into a problem for the character, and then the drama is them solving it. Or maybe we pivot, and these two characters who have been opposed need to become allies in order for them both to get through it, but that’ll make the problems worse for them on the other side.

    Solving a writing problem by figuring out the angle, that’s the most fun way to beat writer’s block. So now when I get stuck, I actually get a little dopamine. I actually get a little excited. Because I gamified solving plot problems — that’s so much easier than getting over burnout.



  • I don’t think prototype testing really reflects on the market either way. Starship is going to enable new markets, with designs that are currently unlaunchable and incredibly inexpensive tonnage to orbit.

    Heavy was deprecated because advancements with F9 made it nearly as capable, and only certain mission profiles require the extra cores. The engineering to adapt F9 into Heavy was onerous enough to make upgraded Heavy not worthwhile for few payloads.




  • Yeah, this is narcissism. One is so insecure that they defensively convince themselves that the world revolves around them. Any self-reflection ends up so dissonant that it gets shut down immediately. It takes a really hard hit to knock the delusion aside, even temporarily.

    Decades of practice in devaluing anyone you don’t agree with makes it easy to jump to “anyone worth anything agrees that I’m the center of the universe.”


  • No, it’s easy. Stuff can get excited when light is about to hit it. Ergo, some matter has an exhibitionist kink.

    When light particles, or photons, pass through atoms, some are absorbed by the atoms and later re-emitted. This interaction changes the atoms, temporarily putting them in a higher-energy or “excited” state before they return to normal.

    In research led by Daniela Angulo, the team set out to measure how long these atoms stayed in their excited state. “That time turned out to be negative,” Steinberg explained—meaning a duration less than zero.