• 11 Posts
  • 64 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Yeah, sounds unlikely doesn’t it?

    But that’s what the forecast says. 4% of productivity lost over the long term of 15 years due to loss of comparative advantage

    https://obr.uk/forecasts-in-depth/the-economy-forecast/brexit-analysis

    But the forecast is for the cost, no benefit is included.

    The loss of comparative advantage is replaced, I’d argue, with competitive advantage which has a much stronger effect. The UK is no longer bound by the anti science regulations on genetic engineering and the new overly restrictive proposed regulations on AI

    GDP per capita is a ratio of GDP / population, so if you do more with fewer people, by using automation, robots and AI, your GDP per capita will grow…

    The 4% figure over 15 years is a difference of 0.29% to 0.27% productivity growth. Government policy has at least that 0.02% effect

    I predict a Starmer govt will be able to introduce policy that will offset the productivity loss just by investing in renewable energy, let alone any research universities’ innovations.




  • Fucking hell,

    GDP is one thing

    Gross domestic product is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced in a specific time period by a country or countries.

    GDP per capita is a measure of productivity and living standards

    What Is GDP Per Capita? Gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is an economic metric that breaks down a country’s economic output per person. Economists use GDP per capita to determine how prosperous countries are based on their economic growth GDP per capita is calculated by dividing the GDP of a nation by its population. Countries with the higher GDP per capita tend to be those that are industrial, developed countries

    Once you’ve worked that out, tell me what the loss of productivity that the OBR is forecasting is down to.

    Hint, it’s comparative advantage. When you’ve learned what that is, let me know.