• 6 Posts
  • 25 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • New construction sometimes doesn’t even help, when developers knocks down an old affordable 12 unit apartment building and build a luxury 36 unit building, you’ve created -12 units of affordable housing.

    The argument I hear against this is that the 36 people who move into the luxury apartments moved from somewhere, and so 36 other apartments become available. The reduced demand for the vacated apartments then drives their prices down.

    Of course, housing as a market is super distorted for a bunch of reasons so this effect is muddled. But I think it would be a net negative to fully disregard supply and demand in a market-based economy and preserve 12 affordable units in favor of 36 luxury ones.

    Largely agree with all your other points though.





  • This is a really cool read with lots of very strong results, but “show” doesn’t seem like the right word for the specific claim the article makes from the paper. In grad school we had a professor who led the first year seminar who drilled into us the importance of using the right word to communicate inferential strength. “Is consistent with” is weaker than “suggests” is weaker than “shows” is weaker than “proves” (really only mathematicians should use “prove”). Section E3 on this website has a similar hierarchy.

    My “speak up in seminar” reflex was going off here because this article jumps one - possibly two - whole levels of inferential strength from what’s actually written in the paper.

    In the paper, the inferential claims in the "communal effort’ part are:

    These differences clearly suggest a lack of evident social stratification…

    further revealed no clear signs of social stratification

    It’s possible I missed a stronger inferential claim about the communal aspect - Please correct me if so!

    I think “are consistent with” or “suggest” would more accurately communicate the strength of the results. The evidence presented that the drainage system was a communal effort is that the houses were the same size and the graves didn’t seem to be differentiated. This seems like absence of evidence for a state authority/hierarchy, not evidence of absence.



  • Man, sorry you had that experience. Stuff like this bums me out. I moved to San Diego largely because of my experiences coming to the beach when I was growing up, and after living here 10 years I rarely ever go because it’s so stressful to get in and out on nice beach days. When I do go I either pay for a rideshare or waste a bunch of time on the bus.

    I don’t hold any particularly exciting political views, but I’m starting to see a lot of the reasoning for people questioning the modern state of cars. Looking at your situation, there was nothing actually wrong with the shuttle system - it came on time, 25mph was plenty fast for your trip, it was an efficient use of public space, and it didn’t require 50 sq ft of beachfront San Diego real estate for parking. The problem was other vehicles and the way they were driven. PB would be a safer place that could be enjoyed by far more people if the shuttles replaced most of the car traffic. But when the starting conditions are “this street must accommodate 3000lb+ vehicles that exceed the speed limit when they feel like it, and are driven by people who are often drunk or unfamiliar with the local roads”, no sane person will travel without their car :-/