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Cake day: June 22nd, 2023

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  • A certain wotc module has a level 2 party fight a suicidal enemy with Fireball in a small room. Also the fireball does necrotic damage just to make sure no one can resist it. Went exactly as you’d expect. I haven’t read the module myself so not sure if the DM messed something up or what. I thought it was hilarious but the other players all rage quit so that campaign ended there.







  • If you have any preference at all between the two party nominees then you are not throwing away your vote. You are voting for that preference and your vote counts. If you think cheese pizza is bland and boring but you are allergic to orange spray tanned pepperoni then being the only person voting for pineapple is objectively a worse choice than voting for cheese, because by voting for pineapple you are increasing the chance of having disgusting orange spray tanned pepperoni shoved in your face.






  • Life evolved on Earth. The idea that it has never done that elsewhere is ridiculous.

    I was going to question this, just because I think people often jump to conclusions based on the universe being very large, but as I did just a bit of research it does seem like nothing too unlikely happened to create Earth. You seem to need liquid water. Maybe that water is generated on the planet or maybe it’s delivered by impacts with icy meteorites or asteroids. We have yet to find another planet with liquid oceans, but it’s hard to imagine why it would be so unlikely for enough Earth-like planets to have sprung up to have a good chance of fostering life. The fact we haven’t found an ocean world would seem to speak more to the massive limitations of our knowledge of other planets. You need other things for life as well, but the same argument seems to follow, in that none of the requirements seem like they have a reason to be that rare. But as limited as our science is, and as limited as my understanding of the science is, I have to admit I really do not know what to think. I don’t think our statistical intuitions are useful when thinking about probabilities of planetary or astronomical phenomena.