Mama told me not to come.

She said, that ain’t the way to have fun.

  • 51 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • Well, tax-deferred, since you don’t pay tax until you sell. And if it’s inherited, you get a free step-up in bases, so your kids won’t pay the tax either.

    And I think Kamala Harris really screwed the pooch on this one. She ranted about taxing unrealized capital gains, which is going to tick off pretty much all the billionaires (and therefore their monetary support would move to her opponent), whereas if she just said she’d tax stock grants for people in executive positions (or over a certain income), they probably wouldn’t be as pissed because they’re largely founders, and thus there’s no stock grant to be taxed (it would mostly hit non-founder C-suites). In practice, this would just mean tax basis is stepped up at the time stocks vest, provided you’re above a certain income.



  • I think there’s a good chance the whole “MAGA” movement dies out in a few elections if Trump loses this round. It’s not particularly popular in my area at least, and “MAGA” candidates have consistently lost the nomination for local elections because people are tired of all the BS (Trump will still win my state though because of the R). If he loses, I think it’ll peter out a bit unless someone with Trump’s charisma gets the nomination in 2028.


  • they do want your passport to sign you up for the library system

    Interesting. Here, a lot (most?) people don’t have passports, so they don’t even mention that as a valid form of ID to get a library card. All they want here is two proofs of address (utility bills work) so they know you live in the library’s jurisdiction, and they don’t record that anywhere AFAIK. In fact, if you have a library card from a different jurisdiction, you can generally continue using it, and if it expires, you generally just need to go in and ask them to renew (no proof of current residency needed in most libraries).

    I guess libraries work a bit different here vs where you live.


  • Sure, but none of that has anything to do with policy, nor do I think him wearing a mask would do all that much to get his base on board.

    His actual public actions

    Source:

    1. Jan & Feb - downplayed the virus - I’d expect any President to do that, the entire point is to reduce panic
    2. March - declares emergency as cases rise, extends the “slow the spread” policies
    3. April - discusses masks, emphasizing that it’s optional, not mandatory (needs to say that to retain his base, it’s an election year, after all); maintains travel restrictions, but recommends states relax policies
    4. May - mentions that he uses hydroxychloroquine
    5. June - indoor campaign rally
    6. July - continued to downplay COVID saying it’ll go away
    7. August - encouraged social distancing
    8. September - continued questioning effectiveness of masks

    Basically, he was against masks, in favor of social distancing, and urged rapid development of vaccines (Pfizer vaccine was available around the end of 2020). He took and recommended others take the vaccine as well.

    It’s impossible to know exactly how Clinton would’ve responded, but I imagine it would be quite similar, with a bit less rhetoric and perhaps a little more distancing at rallies, just given what Biden did (but it’s hard to say exactly, since mask-wearing became a form of speech).

    So the main difference I see between Trump and Clinton/Biden is optics, not policy. And given the death rates between states (e.g. Florida vs California), there isn’t a clear difference based on the party that was in power, and differences are more easily explained by climate, population density, and demographics. So sure, you can probably point to cases where people contracted COVID at a rally or something, but in terms of policy, there doesn’t seem to be much difference between left and right on the COVID response outcomes.

    So all in all, I think Trump’s rhetoric around COVID was terrible, but I don’t think it’s fair to pin those deaths on him because they likely would’ve happened had he lost in 2016.


  • I’m having trouble following. If you check a book out at the library, the library has a record that you checked it out, no? So the only real difference w/ you stripping the DRM is that they won’t know how much of it you read (if that’s even tracked) or if you read it at all. And I also highly doubt the DRM check shares any of your personal data (esp. if you live in the EU, as your instance would suggest), so the publisher would only know that this specific license is in-use, and the only way to connect that to you is by talking to the library.

    Also, how is it tied to your passport? Mine is tied to my name and address, which my passport is also tied to, but the library system is local (US city and state) and therefore would require a fair amount of extra work to link (i.e. legal subpoena). So the only way the two would ever be connected is if I’m being investigated for a crime and they’re looking for motive, which I’m sure they could come up with any number of ways. Granted, w/ the NSA revelations, the barrier for “legal subpoena” could be quite low and the lookup nearly instantaneous, but the only way they’re looking at it is if I’m already suspected of a crime (otherwise, why bother?).

    You do you of course, I just don’t see how stripping DRM from a library book really protects you, the interesting data is already present just by checking the book out. You might as well just pirate from the internet directly and skip the library entirely…







  • Well, if a pitcher pitches a baby, the baby is likely dead regardless if it’s going to make it all the way to the batter. Whether the impact with your bat or the catcher’s mitt is what ultimately causes the baby to die seems to me to be an unimportant detail.

    That said, since the baby is entirely unaerodynamic, it’s going to move a lot more slowly than a regular baseball, meaning there’s a chance you could save the baby by bunting (especially if you avoid the head), and if you assume the catcher has an ounce of humanity, they’ll probably be more concerned with checking on the baby rather than tagging the runner coming from third or throwing you out at first base.

    So here are the options as I see it:

    1. bunt
    2. hit it hard - nobody is going to catch a mangled baby
    3. refuse and take the L - irrational since the baby is a goner regardless

    I’d go with 1, it’s the most humane, and probably no less likely to succeed vs 2.





  • Anyone who thought Trump wouldn’t run again completely misunderstands what motivates him. And anyone who thinks Trump will run again also misunderstands what motivates him. Trump’s whole schtick is that he was cheated out of the election, but losing twice in a row sends a pretty clear message, and he’ll lose the support of the party. Also, he’ll be 82, and likely won’t have the same fire he has today.

    He’s a complete narcissist, and I don’t think he’ll risk losing three times in a row. The next election, if it happens, would likely be a landslide (who wants to vote for a loser three times in a row?) and a massive hit to his ego. A close election gives him the opportunity to claim the election was rigged, and being able to pull that off twice is probably enough for him to save face.