Take a guess.

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    19 hours ago

    I think I hear about a school shooting about once every two or three months. And, I believe underreporting at a national level paired with myself not having time to keep up means that I hear about roughly one in every hundred shootings.

    Typically there’s about 180 days of school per year.

    Crunching some vague math, my guess seems preposterous: ~340 school shootings in 2024. That’s almost two per day. But, the more I thought about it the less preposterous it seemed.

    TL;DR - My guess is a seemingly preposterous 340 school shootings in 2024, or almost 2 per school day.

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        14 hours ago

        It’s fallacy fallacy. I got close to the right answer for highly-questionable subjective reasoning that’s barely better than luck.