• lemming934@lemmy.sdf.org
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    5
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    4 months ago

    Polls have been remarkably accurate in the last few election cycles.

    The “polls are wrong” talking point is a convenient way for politicians to ignore the will of the people. Trump has done this for a long time, and recently Biden has taken up this practice to pretend that the “Real Americans” think he is fit to be president for another 4 years.

    So please don’t repeat this talking point, or at least read a bit into historical accuracy of polls before you declare them bullshit.

    • Bosht@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      7
      ·
      4 months ago

      Guess I’m being overly optimistic thinking that Trump would be supported at all, let alone have a lead. Regardless of how shit a candidate Biden is, Trump is a fucking disgrace and a criminal among a whole other list of garbage. Appreciate you taking the time to call out my random comment on Lemmy.

    • Reptorian
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      4 months ago

      Polls being wrong claim is more about how election results seem to be different than poll results. Special elections points to that.

      • lemming934@lemmy.sdf.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        4 months ago

        Polls have a margin of error and election results have generally been within the 80% confidence interval 80% of the time.

        It is true that when there are less polls (like in special elections) it’s harder to get an understanding of the state of the race.