A new poll in New Hampshire shows Vice President Kamala Harris is six points ahead of former President Donald Trump in the battleground state.
The survey of more than 2,000 registered New Hampshire voters by Saint Anselm College took place on July 24-25, after Harris secured enough delegate support to become the likely Democratic presidential nominee.
Harris leads Trump 50% to 44% in the poll. A poll taken by Saint Anselm in June after President Biden struggled in the debate showed Trump edging out Biden in New Hampshire by two points.
Keep in mind NH is only vaguely a battleground at the federal level, Biden won it by 7+ points in 2020 and they haven’t voted for a Republican president since 2000 and even then Bush barely eked out a win. Push against the fascists still!
But what it does show is a major momentum shift. Going from Trump +2 after the debate (polling Biden vs Trump) to Harris +6 in the same state from the same polling organization is nothing to scoff at
Though as other people have said, polls don’t determine elections, we do. Elections are only won when people get involved and when people vote
Harris is showing within the margin of error for polls nationally
What we really want to do is look at her chances of winning each state to see the probable delegate total but it’s WAY too early to tell and either way we shouldn’t get complacent
Each swing state specifically
I hear you, but Hillary took it by less than 1% in 2016.