trust me bro, we’re almost there, we just need another data center and a few billions, it’s coming i promise, we are testing incredible things internally, can’t wait to show you!
Around a year ago I bet a friend $100 we won’t have AGI by 2029, and I’d do the same today. LLMs are nothing more than fancy predictive text and are incapable of thinking or reasoning. We burn through immense amounts of compute and terabytes of data to train them, then stick them together in a convoluted mess, only to end up with something that’s still dumber than the average human. In comparison humans are “trained” with maybe ten thousand “tokens” and ten megajoules of energy a day for a decade or two, and take only a couple dozen watts for even the most complex thinking.
trust me bro, we’re almost there, we just need another data center and a few billions, it’s coming i promise, we are testing incredible things internally, can’t wait to show you!
We are having massive exponential increases in output with all sorts of innovations, every few weeks another big step forward happens
https://youtu.be/d4tMzagjXrI
Around a year ago I bet a friend $100 we won’t have AGI by 2029, and I’d do the same today. LLMs are nothing more than fancy predictive text and are incapable of thinking or reasoning. We burn through immense amounts of compute and terabytes of data to train them, then stick them together in a convoluted mess, only to end up with something that’s still dumber than the average human. In comparison humans are “trained” with maybe ten thousand “tokens” and ten megajoules of energy a day for a decade or two, and take only a couple dozen watts for even the most complex thinking.