@Redditgee@ag10n
My read is that defence is much easier than attack, nowadays; and that favours Russia’s current position. I agree re the resource balance - not least because it must always have been the basis of Putin’s thinking.
Ukraine has had a rough few months, for sure. It appears that the Russians have outdone their own doctrine, when it comes to the surovikin line, dooming the Ukrainian offensive. Long term, I don’t think Russia has enough skilled troops to conduct another serious offensive, but I think they’re content to occupy eastern Ukraine. At least until everything is replenished in twenty years, and they decide to move again. The western style of maneuver warfare hasn’t proven fruitful, and that is likely because Ukraine is unable to get and maintain air superiority. But that goes back to my point - the west took too long and sent too little. It’s easy to see why Ukraine is frustrated with the supply situation, and now fatigue is setting in with a lot of people in the US. We’ve fumbled plenty of foreign relations in the past, but this seems like the most justifiable war since WWII, and we’re failing the test.
@Redditgee @ag10n
My read is that defence is much easier than attack, nowadays; and that favours Russia’s current position. I agree re the resource balance - not least because it must always have been the basis of Putin’s thinking.
Ukraine has had a rough few months, for sure. It appears that the Russians have outdone their own doctrine, when it comes to the surovikin line, dooming the Ukrainian offensive. Long term, I don’t think Russia has enough skilled troops to conduct another serious offensive, but I think they’re content to occupy eastern Ukraine. At least until everything is replenished in twenty years, and they decide to move again. The western style of maneuver warfare hasn’t proven fruitful, and that is likely because Ukraine is unable to get and maintain air superiority. But that goes back to my point - the west took too long and sent too little. It’s easy to see why Ukraine is frustrated with the supply situation, and now fatigue is setting in with a lot of people in the US. We’ve fumbled plenty of foreign relations in the past, but this seems like the most justifiable war since WWII, and we’re failing the test.