Honestly been happening more often in the last year or two, not because things are getting better here everyone else is just getting so much worse that bar has been dropping super fast it’s wild.

Not yet since it happened over the weekend but he could be thrown in jail for up to a year so here’s hoping…

Smallish news that happened over the weekend

An austrian nazi (Martin Sellner) was arrested in switzerland basically he was already banned in the country for you know being a nazi, decided to come here anyways to say some nazi stuff and got arrested. I thought that since he could do it in austria and germany he’d get away with it but I guess not.

I’m guessing he thought it play out the same as it did in germany where he was banned from the country, came in anyways and their government retroactively lifted the ban.

Edit:

Actually since theres some new news about this now the guy got got in the dumbest way ever, he wanted to protest being not allowed in and wanted to do a whole photo shoot of him shaking the hands of some nazis across the border but he got the whole thing wrong and he stood on the swiss side the whole time. Double irony he did it near the ‘Nazifence’ so…

He’ll probably do the whole ‘I didn’t know I’m just a smol bean’ and since he’s austrian he’ll probably get away with a fine but oh man just the dumbest guy imaginable.

I think in his very narrow niche he’s not too bad it’s really when he tried to do the big politics understander where he showed his ass. I actually think it lining up is plausible because both candidate are so sauceless like neither has any momentum to them that pretty much any event can start to shift things drastically. Like either Trump or Kamala could show up any day say something dumb and just immediately lose because of how shitty they are.

https://x.com/natesilver538/status/1846259437599907880

Nathanial Bronze calls it even just now with his prediction thingie

This is roughly a week after the betting market was dead even so there probably is a short lag due to Nate relying on polls, this doesn’t come as a shock to anyone but it is really not looking good for Kamala from here on out.

Wikipedia has some good pages and some horrifically bad pages, we all know the one where some american teen made all the scots pages even though he literally didn’t speak a word of scots but there’s tons of other pages that are questionable at best and wrong at worst. The main contributors after decades are still like 80% men and most of them are in a STEM field which again shows in pages that go outside of that narrow niche. I at one point edited some wiki pages myself and you’ll literally have some guy do a fucking edit war because he thinks Somatotypes are real and you have to fight for months because you don’t have the clout of a math nerd.

And this isn’t even looking at the serious Nazi problem wiki has.

Wikipedia had decades to get their act together, they didn’t I doubt they will anytime in the future because of how their whole shitty system works.

Edit: To double down their reviewers are also shitty STEMlords who often have no qualifications but think they do, again look at any philosophy page which is just laughable. Everyone is always walking around on eggshells when it comes to how shitty some sections of wikipedia are which has resulted in festering puss filled wounds that glorify nazis and since it’s on wikipedia well then it has some credibility to it.

I would say sort of? If you are Kamala you cannot regain the left at this point they’ll just continue to slip out of your hands so I think her bid is ‘Hey right wingers vote for us because unlike trump we are less embarrassing we will do all the things you want.’

But then Trump is also just like all over so I don’t know if you can be ‘to the right of’ a person that has no clear position.

Democrats continue their rightward sprint by courting the gamer vote

New polls just dropped is Kamala going to be 2? All signs point towards yes.

https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/fields-of-freedom-alliance-new-wisconsin-poll-rural-voters-give-trump-lead-over-harris/

https://nitter.poast.org/IAPolls2022/status/1844077361857519795

Don’t mind me just passing through with some information.

Both Kamala and Trump are dead even as far as the betting market is concerned

And pollsters are doing their song and dance

It would be somewhat funny if Trump again wins the EC but loses the popular vote.

Yeah I didn’t want to include the SVP because then I’d have to talk about their leadership and their base went basically in two directions as their base realized that they’d be getting fucked too if it passes and do like a whole thing which I think might have bigger consequences in the future if their base is getting away from them but that’s all speculative and the whole post would’ve gotten even longer.

Also a minor indulgence on my part how does a german feel about this, why very strongly and with genocidal rage.

https://lemmy.world/post/20089954?scrollToComments=true

Maybe I should become a poster that says “Germania delende est” after every post

Other news from switzerland

There were two iniatives people voted on:

Biodiversity:

Yes 37.0% vs 63.0% No

Biodiversity has gone down over the last decade a ton so the state already has some new measures but according to the ones who proposed this initiative it wasn’t going far enough and they wanted some additional laws and to double the budget for protecting Biodiversity. Why was it reject this much? The No camp campaigned on two major pillars, food insecurity and energy insecurity, No basically said that a ton of farms would have to close and switzerland would have to rely on foreign food imports even more and energy companies said that it’d have made new energy installations, even renewables, very hard to build. I’m personally not surprised by the outcome the proposal wasn’t very well written although I agree with the general points.

Pension Reforms:

Yes 32.9% vs 67.1% No

Honestly this is kind of all over the news with media mocking the FDP (market liberals) and GLP (green market liberals) today. So for the past 2 years the FDP has been trying to box through pension reforms aka work longer for less money this third one is the largest no their initiatives have gotten and it’s fun seeing the NO grow larger and larger, huge L for neoliberals big W for left and unions who told them to fuck off and try again, also double L for neoliberals because a few months earlier people voted for a 13th pension payment and against their ‘raise the retirement age’ so now the SP and unions are thinking about actually reforming pensions aka making them better not worse. Also huge not a single canton (basically states) voted yes and the only places that even voted more yes than no are municipalities that are famous for having a ton of rich people even being called the ‘Goldcoast’

Did you read anything? The value is looking at the considerable shift in voters, in this case 10%, from last election cycle. Use it to make an educated guess that we will also see a shift in other states more than likely it is not as drastic as 10% but it means that the dems are going to do much weaker than they did in 2020 and if they do shitty enough Trump might actually win this. Harris doesn’t actually have a sizable lead again this is NY one of the dem strongholds, she is supposed to do much better, Trump polling better would mean a total sweep across the country. It’s obvious that Israels actions are supported by the Biden government and Kamala is part of that government it something thing that is depressing dem voter turn out which helps Trump because his base doesn’t care about that the hotter the conflict the lower dem turnout while rep turnout stays the same. Again, Israel does matter across the country does that mean NY is going to flip from blue to red? Of course not and that’s not what I’m saying.

news

https://x.com/ArgoJournal/status/1836754762533867841

Roughly a shift of 10% from the last election with Israel starting even more shit in the middle east it might just be enough to completely kill any chance Kamala had.

Following the trend of doing everything the US is doing Germany also tried doing the ‘We will build chips here jack’ even go so far as to pay Intel 10bn € to build a factory (total cost was 30bn €) that project is now ‘paused for two years’ same as that TSMC factory in the US

In the annals of this present era, when Heaven’s favor once bestowed upon the Empress of the European Realms, Ursula von der Leyen, now appears to wane, the signs of discord multiply in alarming fashion. Not since the distant days when rulers were cast from their thrones by the wrath of nature have the rivers of Europe surged so violently. The floods that have swept across the lands, from Austria to Hungary to Poland, have wrought devastation.

These torrents, swollen with the rains of Heaven, have overwhelmed the great rivers—the Danube, the Morava, and beyond—bursting their banks, as if in a dire warning. Villages lay submerged, and cities were brought to their knees by waters that left most of their homes underwater. Bridges, those vital arteries of the realm, have collapsed, and the call for a state of natural disaster echoes across the land.

Surely, this is more than a mere misfortune; it is a sign from the Heavens. The Empress von der Leyen, though resolute in her proclamations of European solidarity, has lost the sacred Mandate of Heaven. Even now, the rulers of the East and the West scramble in panic. The governor of the hungarian province Viktor Orbán, was compelled to abandon his parliamentary duties and the teutonic general Olaf Scholz schemes the downfall by marching his army on the prohibitively expensive city of Brussels the seat of the Empresses power. In these omens, it is clear: Nature herself cries out, demanding a renewal of leadership that may once again align with the will of Heaven

The Empress, once entrusted with the sacred duty to guide her people, now finds herself beset by calamity on all sides, for the favor of Heaven does not waver lightly, and the storms above reflect the discontent below. As the rivers of Europe rage, drowning cities and villages alike, it is not only the Empress von der Leyen who must look to the heavens in fear of her fate. In these times of great upheaval, the court of Europe is rife with whispers of challengers, each seeking to seize the Mandate of Heaven and bring forth a new era of rule.

Reporting from the Red Turban headquarters planning the fall of the EU Sky and the rise of a red one, there will be prosperity under the heavens.

I mean it’s unlikely that they’ll be able to form a government with 25% BUT and that’s why I posted it, the gains are real, my prediction is that we will see the center parties collapse during the next round of election in europe and if there is a functioning left wing they’ll gain a lot here the communists picked up 2.5x more than the fascists and I know this is in a city but I don’t think that fascists parties are able to do the reverse in the rural areas since those are already controlled by the center fascists.

Smaller good news from one european city Antwerp

The communist party (PVDA-PTB) is polling at second place with 24.7% of the votes after the conservatives (N-VA) at 28.3% during 2018 the communists got 8.7% so this is actually huge, don’t know too much about Belgian politics but maybe we got someone around for it.

Indicated changes from this polls

Communist +16% Conservatives -7% Greens -5.4% Far Right +6.6% SocDems -3.2% Christian Dems -3.8% Market Liberals -2.9%

I.e. center collapsing with communist making huge gains as well as the far right.

Double update time

That german bridge that collapsed? It collapsed again, US wishes it could collapse bridges this well the world is witnessing superior german engineering and efficiency.