Western media have finally change course. They are now admitting that the much promoted Ukrainian counter-offensive has failed. In fact, the acknowledge that it never had a chance to win in the first place.

The Hill, the Washington Post and CNN now agree that the Ukrainian army will never achieve its aims.

western MSM has a rare encounter with reality!

That makes it difficult for the Biden administration to get Congress approval for $24 billion in additional ‘aid’ to Ukraine. It does not make sense to pay for a cause that is evidently lost.

b seems overly hopeful regarding the rationality of US congress, but i think hes right- why would we throw more money at them, US politicians have made it clear they do not support bringing Ukraine into NATO if they do not win this conflict. of course, US politicians are prone to lying and misleading

Nothing has come from the ‘peace conference’ which Saudi Arabia arranged on Ukraine’s behalf

lol. lmao even. props to big dog MBS for trying

Despite the onslaught of bad news the Ukrainian army is still trying to take Russian positions in the south and east of Ukraine. But it simply does not have enough in men and material to break through the lines.

Even if they would manage to get a local breakthrough there are not enough reserves to push for the necessary follow up. Just one of the NATO trained brigades has still been held back. All others have been mauled in their various deployment zones.

nothing has changed it seems

In the northeast around Kupyansk the Russians have started their own offensive which has the Ukrainians on the run. Ukraine has ordered the evacuation of the area

But Kupyansk is a Russian city and people refuse to leave.

show this to the libs claiming Russians are committing genocide in the regions they capture. curious that these civilians are content with Russian occupation when you believe what western media claims

The Russian campaign is slowly speeding up. As the Ukrainian Strana.news reports (machine translation):

Also in Ukraine, it is recorded that from Kupyansk to Bakhmut, Russia has increased the number of attacks.

"Over the past month, the total number of attacks in the Kupyansk, Limansky and Bakhmut directions has grown significantly. In July, during the week there were 6-6.5 thousand attacks, during the last week-9 thousand attacks, " - said the representative of the National Guard Ruslan Muzychuk.

According to him, the Russian Federation does not experience “shell hunger”.

Aviation is also actively used, and over the past few weeks, more than 50 air attacks have been taking place every day, and sometimes more than 80.

That is bad news for the Ukrainian side which lacks the reserves to counter the Russian onslaught. There are also less weapons coming in from the West. F-16 fighter jets will be delayed for another nine months due to training issues. Tanks and other material are in short supply.

these supply issues sure bode well for the west’s performance in WW3 sicko-hyper

Strana also report of an interview with a knowledgeable Ukrainian soldier (machine translation):

Continuing the topic of the situation at the front, an interesting interview was given by a Ukrainian sniper fighting near Bakhmut with the call sign “Grandfather”. On the air of political scientist Yuri Romanenko, he was introduced as Konstantin Proshinsky (this is a pseudonym).

The fighter spoke in detail about his vision of the situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Russian army.

  1. Mobilization. In his opinion, it is conducted incorrectly. Recruits are sent to the front who have never been trained, and they are often over 50 years old and with a whole bunch of diseases.
  1. No rotation. The soldier says that “the same brigades” are fighting at the front, and people are not taken out of the front line for six months or more. Whereas by Western standards, they can be kept in a war zone for no more than three months.
  1. Behavior of mid-and high-level commanders. According to Proshinsky, many of them are trying to arrange a “mini-Stalingrad” on the positions, forcing them to go into frontal assaults on well-fortified Russian positions.
  1. The Russian Army began to fight better.
  1. Proshinsky believes that Russia has not yet used much of what it has against Ukraine.

The soldier thinks that the Russians will not move from their positions and that a stalemate peace like in Korea would be the end result.

UAF in real dire times— recruiting the elderly, poor logistics, engaging the enemy at inopportune times, and Russia has yet to waver

I believe that to be wrong. Russia’s aim is to liberate at least the four regions that it has claimed for itself. For political reasons it can not stop before that is done.

Should the Ukraine continue to fight after that, Russia is likely to set new aims and take more land.

more editorializing, but it doesnt seem unreasonable. i thought Russia would stick to its original goal of Donetsk and Luhansk, but if Zaporizhzhia and Kherson are receptive to Russian governance, it would be foolish for Russia to give them up

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    Disgusting waste of lives.

    All of this should have fucking ended but Boris Johnson fucked it all. Fuck him and fuck all the liberals that have been spewing bloodthirsty vile shit calling for tens of thousands of lives to be wasted in a fucking meatgrinder for some lines on a map. I do not give a fuck about the Ukrainian state, I do not give a fuck about the Russian state. Lines on a map are not people.

    These people deserved better than bloodthirsty assholes.

  • Nightcastle [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    My american internet friends got so mad at me when I said at the beginning of all this that there should be an immediate ceasefire and surrender to stop the fighting and I was called an apologist for Putin and that this was an unprovoked invasion and you have to protect yourself. These people never experienced military action near their homes.

  • ShimmeringKoi [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    According to Proshinsky, many of them are trying to arrange a “mini-Stalingrad” on the positions, forcing them to go into frontal assaults on well-fortified Russian positions.

    Its not that I’m surprised at this point when anticommunist propaganda turns out to be projection, it’s more that im still surprised at how often it pops up

    • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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      I’m not sure if I fully understood your comment, but here’s my response based on how I read it. Let me know if I’m off base.

      Stalingrad was one of the worst and most destructive sieges in human history and I assume everyone in the former USSR knows about it. If your own generals are forcing you in to a hopeless frontal assault against a fortified position Stalingrad seems like an apt comparison. I refer to pretty much any well entrenched strong point as Pavlov’s House, for instance. And if I’m reading this right he’s saying his commanding officers are behaving, foolishly, like the Nazis.

  • aaaaaaadjsf [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    Using a combined arms NATO style attack tactic for the counter offensive when Ukraine basically has no air force was certainly a very smart and good idea with no potential problems. Especially when attacking entrenched and mined Russian positions. Great idea from the NATO military commander failsons

  • Lerios [hy/hym]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    i don’t understand, its been going bad the entire time, why admit it now? its been 18 months and thousands of lives, wtf

    • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      I think that some very pro-Ukraine voices (especially in the media and Dem establishment) are angry that this counteroffensive is not going well… but they aren’t willing to admit that NATO forced Ukraine into it, so they have to just bemoan how bad it is going. Ukraine made a deal with Russia very early into the war, but as soon as NATO found out about it, Boris Johnson arrived in Ukraine for a completely unscheduled visit and told Ukrainian officials that we will fuck them up (their positions in the government and their future employment prospects) if they don’t cancel the deal. The same with this counteroffensive, we told them to do it.

    • ZoomeristLeninist [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.netOPM
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      i believe they are signaling a coming change in support. either they withdraw support, or NATO troops are deployed. the latter could mean ww3, which is probably inevitable, but it seems way too soon.

      also, it could very well be a million lives lost

      edit: it could also just be manufactured consent for more “aid”

      • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        I can’t see NATO trying to deploy. They’re already stressed just trying to keep the Ukrainian Army supplied, the US that would have to send most of the troops is in chaos and morale is terrible here. The outrcry against it would be incredible, especially less than 3 years after the largest domestic uprising in US history. And it would have a strong effect on the US’s ability to try to provoke war in China.

        • well the alternative is allowing Russia this major win, ceding significant hegemonic power. i get they’re saving up for a total confrontation with China, but i dont think the ruling class expected Ukraine to lose. even if the realists were at the helm, Russia seems ardently anti-Atlanticist and China has been a great trade and diplomacy partner for them, so they are unlikely to ever be persuaded into the all-capitalist alliance these realists are dreaming of. NATO has to deploy eventually, i agree that they didnt want it to be over Ukraine, but animals act unpredictably when backed in a corner. the supply issue point is true, but amerika seems to be turning the EU into its neocolonies and could very well use them as a half-billion-person factory; artillery shells were typically imported from Russia and China, so amerika is now scrambling for alternatives

      • NATO ain’t going to do shit until it’s a country that’s a member state or one they actually give a shit about. Western Gov is just telling our news media to chill the support because they can’t sustain and it’s a lost cause unless the want to kick off WW3 over a place that most people can’t identify on a map.

        • BeamBrain [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          1 year ago

          It’s frankly terrifying how many western libs are beating the drum for WW3. They want so badly for the rest of the world to be their slaves that they would rather see themselves, their families, and everything they love incinerated in nuclear hellfire than give it up.

          • rubpoll [she/her]@hexbear.net
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            Most of the libs I know who talk like this are 110% certain that Russia’s and China’s nukes don’t work, and/or that the US government absolutely has a fool-proof way of shooting down ICBM’s.

        • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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          I privately think NATO would collapse if someone tried to invoke Article 5, especially if the opponent was someone reasonably serious like Turkey or Russia.

          Like I don’t know, but I think trying to get Burgerlanders and Brits and Germans all on board with getting mulched because Finland, population 5 million, had it’s precious territory integrity violated, would be a hard sell. The potential for unrest and uprisings in an already hungry and restive population in two of the major NATO militaries would be a huge issue.

          • emizeko [they/them]@hexbear.net
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            1 year ago

            people talk a lot about Article 5 but it doesn’t actually compel member states to do anything

            The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognized by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.

  • zifnab25 [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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    1 year ago

    Its just so much fucking blood spilled.

    I can’t get over how many people are throwing their lives away over some dipshits in their respective capitals putting new lines on a map. Nightmarish to see Ukrainians and Russians alike march to their deaths over this shit.

    • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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      Probably hundreds of thousands of people dead for the ambitions of a handful of gerontocrat crooks and their cronies.

      If you want a really bad thought imagine what the Red Army soldiers from WWII would think finding out that Ukraine and Russia were at war and Banderites had taken control of the government and were leading the charge?

      • daisy@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        Biden truly scares me, being so casually ending European prosperity

        Biden’s a senile puppet. He didn’t do anything aside from sign whatever was put on his desk by staffers and read whatever was on his teleprompter. Europe was ultimately screwed by its own slavish obedience to deindustrialization, a process decades in the making and orchestrated by the forces of finance. This was enhanced by their millennia-old tangled web of bigotries that made it easy for finance to divide and conquer them. They’d have been fucked over in the exact same way regardless of who sat in the oval office or what colour of lawn sign that person had.

          • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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            Agreed. My strongest evidence that Biden is just immensely cruel and an absolute true believer is that he worked as a mountpiece for the Credit Card industry for literal decades and was still, relatively speaking, poor when he became VP. I think his assets with his wife might have been like 2 million, or maybe even 1 million, and I think a lot of that was from Jill’s career. Biden somehow, working for one of the most corrupt sectors of the economy, never managed to make any money off of it in decades of doing their bidding. Only a profoundly weird man or a profoundly stupid man could achieve that.

          • BeamBrain [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            I don’t think even Obama would dare to cross this line, and Obama was the one who deleted half of the generational wealth of black community overnight, which as Michael Hudson repeatedly reminded us, made him quite possibly the most racist president in the history of the United States.

            I don’t think Obama is anywhere close to the most racist president in US history, but that speaks more to the quality of his competition than any lack of racism on his part.

          • ImOnADiet@lemmygrad.ml
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            1 year ago

            To understand how seriously China sees this issue, you need to read the science fiction novel Three Body Problem, which is extremely popular among the elite and academic circles in China.

            could you elaborate on what you mean by this? Like, they’re extremely worried about a large tech gap between the US and China?

          • TheLepidopterists [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            1 year ago

            I joked yesterday about how I’m not getting the simulated liberalism I was promised but like, I remember someone the other day saying it was simulated too well and to please stop and you said on.

            Are you just using this as your normal account now?

    • some Ukrainians are being coerced into serving. libs will call me a Russian bot for this, but i dont think the same can be said for Russia. they have enough active military personnel to avoid drafting; they havent even deployed them all

      but yeah, war is depressing. hopefully before we go extinct we will achieve communism and end war

    • FortifiedAttack [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      I remember dozens upon dozens of shitposts on Quora about how Russia was supposedly unable to produce ball bearings because of sanctions. One of the biggest weapons manufacturing powerhouses on the planet.

      Every single one of them would end with the phrase: “Sanctions work, just slowly” – i.e. the usual grift from Neoliberals.

      Always claim that the big victories are right around the corner, just in reach, just gotta wait a little while longer!! Meanwhile they make off into the distance with whatever spoils they managed to gain during their grift.

      • ChapoKrautHaus [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        I remember dozens upon dozens of shitposts on Quora about how Russia was supposedly unable to produce ball bearings because of sanctions.

        Americans seem to have a weird fascination with ball bearings. In WW2 some intel genius figured the German war effort could be crippled by bombing the ball bearing factories in Schweinfurt. The first raid was a desaster; after rebuilding the US Air Forces in Britain for months, they tried again and lost even more bombers. At least Schweinfurt was 98% destroyed.

        German motor vehicle production suffered no noticeable impact.

        https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Schweinfurt_raid

          • YuccaMan [he/him]@hexbear.net
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            Which would be nonsense even if the operation hadn’t been a debacle. Final reports on US and UK bombing campaigns after the war identified strikes on German transit infrastructure as having had the greatest meaningful impact on their military performance. This was corroborated by the Germans themselves I believe. Strikes on factories of any kind were seen as having only limited efficacy.

      • Frank [he/him, he/him]@hexbear.net
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        1 year ago

        CW: cartoon blood, violence.

        spoiler

        This isn’t really related I just think the DKK shovel meme is funny. Yes that makes me a boomer, no, I don’t care.

  • SorosFootSoldier [he/him, they/them]@hexbear.net
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    They’ll just drum up some other backwards ass excuse to throw more money at neo-nazis in Ukraine. This war is never going to end anytime soon and frankly your average burger is literally a world away and views it as team sports.